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Villa's 17 goals in five meet a Newcastle side with one clean sheet in six
Newcastle host Aston Villa in the Premier League on Saturday. Villa come in unbeaten in three; the hosts are 11th after six matches.
By FootieRadar Desk · Published · 3 min read
Aston Villa arrive at St James' Park with the sharper recent record. They have scored 17 goals in their last five games, including a 6–0 Champions League win over Fenerbahçe on 14 October, and are unbeaten in three. Newcastle have scored seven and conceded 11 in their last five, and sit 11th on eight points after a 1–4 defeat at Coventry on 12 October.
Kick-off is 7:30pm Kenya time on Saturday 17 October. Newcastle have not lost at St James' Park in the league this season, and Villa's attack is the thing to watch. The match puts the home side's record against the visitors' scoring.
Two different recent records
Newcastle have scored 10 and conceded 13 in six league games, a goal difference of minus three. At home they are unbeaten, with a win over Hull City and draws with Bournemouth and Liverpool. Away, they have one win, at Tottenham, and two defeats, at Leeds and Coventry.
Villa have one league win in six, a 3–2 victory at Tottenham, and two draws, leaving them 16th on five points. They have scored six and conceded 11, and failed to score in three league games, including a 4–0 defeat at Brighton. The 6–0 win over Fenerbahçe stands out against an attack that has struggled in the league.
| Newcastle | Aston Villa | |
|---|---|---|
| 11th | League position | 16th |
| 8 | Points | 5 |
| 2-2-2 | Won-drawn-lost | 1-2-3 |
| 10 / 13 | Goals for / against | 6 / 11 |
| 1 | Clean sheets | 1 |
| L W L W D | Last five, latest first | W D W W W |
Villa's longer injury list
Newcastle are without Anthony Elanga (knee) and E. Jaouen (muscle). V. Livramento, Jacob Ramsey and B. Toure are all listed as questionable.
Villa's list is longer: G. Hemmings (knee), I. Maatsen (ankle), A. Onana (knee) and M. Ruggeri are all missing, while Ross Barkley and I. Mbaye are questionable.
Five meetings, evenly split
Newcastle and Villa have met five times since December 2024, and the results are evenly split: two wins each and a goalless draw. Newcastle won 3–0 at St James' Park in December 2024 and 1–3 at Villa Park in the FA Cup in February 2026. Villa won 4–1 at Villa Park in April 2025 and 2–0 at St James' Park in January 2026. The only draw was a goalless game at Villa Park in August 2025.
What the numbers say
The betting market's view, at the time of writing and calculated from odds with the margin removed, is Newcastle 42%, a draw 26% and Villa 32%. That makes Newcastle the side the market leans towards, which fits a home record without a league defeat.
Villa's main threat is Nicolas Jackson, who has five goals in seven appearances and an average rating of 7.57. For Newcastle, Joe Willock has two goals in six appearances, and Harvey Barnes has two assists. The numbers point to a contest between Newcastle's home record and Villa's attacking output, with both defences having kept one clean sheet.
Odds in Kenya
Kick-off is Saturday 17 October, 7:30pm Kenya time at St James' Park, Newcastle upon Tyne. These are the best prices at bookmakers licensed in Kenya right now.
Market view
The chance of each result implied by Pinnacle’s odds, with the bookmaker’s margin (3.4%) removed. Updated hourly. Calculated from betting-market data, not our opinion, and never a guarantee. How we calculate this →
Odds are provided by bookmakers licensed in Kenya and can change at any time. Bet responsibly: only stake what you can afford to lose. 18+.
Data: API-Football (fixtures, standings, form, injuries, head-to-head, odds). Written by the FootieRadar desk with AI assistance and checked against the match data. How our predictions work.
