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Unbeaten Freiburg have conceded just four league goals; Leverkusen have scored 14
Bayer Leverkusen host SC Freiburg in the Bundesliga on Sunday. Freiburg are unbeaten and second; Leverkusen have won four of their last five.
By FootieRadar Desk · Published · 2 min read
Freiburg arrive at the BayArena unbeaten and second in the Bundesliga, with the stronger defensive record so far. Leverkusen, fourth, have won four of their last five in all competitions, the most recent a 4-0 Europa League win over Lech Poznan on 15 Oct.
Kick-off is Sunday 18 October, 4:30pm Kenya time. The betting market's view, at the time of writing, is 57% Leverkusen, 21% draw and 22% Freiburg.
Two sides, two different records
Freiburg have 13 points from five league games, with four wins and a draw. Leverkusen have 10, from three wins, a draw and a defeat. Both have two league clean sheets, and neither has failed to score. The difference is at the back: Leverkusen have conceded eight league goals to Freiburg's four, although both have scored 14.
Across all competitions the defensive picture reverses. Over their last five games Leverkusen have conceded five and Freiburg seven, but Freiburg have scored 16 to Leverkusen's 14. Leverkusen's back line is tighter over that run; Freiburg's attack is the more productive.
| Bayer Leverkusen | SC Freiburg | |
|---|---|---|
| 4th | League position | 2nd |
| 10 | Points | 13 |
| 3-1-1 | Won-drawn-lost | 4-1-0 |
| 14 / 8 | Goals for / against | 14 / 4 |
| 2 | Clean sheets | 2 |
| W W W W D | Last five, latest first | W W W D W |
Five absentees for Leverkusen, Suzuki out for Freiburg
Leverkusen have five players ruled out: E. Ben Seghir (muscle injury), G. Doue (calf injury), K. Eichhorn (illness), C. Kofane (muscle injury) and M. Terrier (muscle injury). M. Culbreath is listed as questionable with a foot injury. Their top league scorer, P. Schick, has five goals and one assist, and is not among the unavailable players.
Freiburg's top scorer, Y. Suzuki, is out after a red card, and he has four league goals. B. Yilmaz is questionable, with lacking match fitness given as the reason. The next name on Freiburg's scoring list, I. Matanović, has three goals and an assist.
Leverkusen hold the head-to-head edge
Freiburg have not beaten Leverkusen in their last five meetings. Leverkusen have won three of them, including a 5-1 win in December 2024, the widest margin in the list.
Both draws came at Freiburg: 2-2 in May 2025 and 3-3 in March 2026, the most recent meeting between the sides.
What the numbers point to
The market leans towards Leverkusen, and the head-to-head record and home venue give that view some support. The numbers pull the other way on defence, where Freiburg have the better league record.
The match turns on whether Leverkusen's attack, level with Freiburg on league goals, can get past the stronger defensive record.
Odds in Kenya
Kick-off is Sunday 18 October, 4:30pm Kenya time at BayArena, Bayer Leverkusen. These are the best prices at bookmakers licensed in Kenya right now.
Market view
The chance of each result implied by Pinnacle’s odds, with the bookmaker’s margin (3.9%) removed. Updated hourly. Calculated from betting-market data, not our opinion, and never a guarantee. How we calculate this →
Odds are provided by bookmakers licensed in Kenya and can change at any time. Bet responsibly: only stake what you can afford to lose. 18+.
Data: API-Football (fixtures, standings, form, injuries, head-to-head, odds). Written by the FootieRadar desk with AI assistance and checked against the match data. How our predictions work.
